An Empirical Observation in One Article Became the Industry Bible
In an article Moore wrote for Electronics magazine in 1965, on the exceedingly limited historical data of the semiconductor industry at the time alone, he boldly predicted that the number of transistors on an integrated circuit would keep growing at roughly a doubling per year, and this prediction, at first only an empirical extrapolation from short-term observation, was over the more than half-century after repeatedly borne out by the actual technical evolution of the semiconductor industry, gradually evolving from a mere observation into an industry development goal the global chip industry commonly followed in concert, even actively pouring huge investment into to ensure it was achieved.